I am an energy researcher based in Uppsala and Stockholm, Sweden. I work as an Associate Professor at Uppsala University and an Associate Analyst at the Swedish National China Centre at the Swedish Institute of International Affairs.
My research is focused on energy systems analysis, energy economics, and energy policy. I teach energy security and other energy systems courses at Uppsala University.
I received my Ph.D. in Natural Resources and Sustainable Development from the Department of Earth Sciences at Uppsala University in 2020. Besides research positions at Uppsala, I have been a guest researcher at The Swedish Institute of International Affairs, Tokyo Institute of Technology, China University of Petroleum Beijing and Stanford University.
I am currently conducting research on Europe-Russia as well as China-Russia energy relations and policy in the wake of the invasion of Ukraine.
Working papers
Gars, J., Spiro, D., & Wachtmeister, H. (2024). Winners and losers of a Russian oil-export cut
Spiro, D., Wachtmeister, H., Gars, J., (2024). Assessing the impact of oil sanctions on Russia. SSRN WP
Wachtmeister, H., Gars, J., Spiro, D., (2023). The Price Cap on Russian Oil: A Quantitative Analysis. SSRN WP
Journal publications
Gars, J., Spiro, D., & Wachtmeister, H. (2022). The effect of European fuel-tax cuts on the oil income of Russia. Nature Energy, 1-9
Wachtmeister, H., Höök, M. & Kuchler, M. (2021). How Many Wells? Exploring the Scope of Shale Gas Production for Achieving Gas Self-Sufficiency in Poland. Natural Resources Research, 30 (3), 2483-2496
Virdin, J., Vegh, T., Jouffray, J.-B., Blasiak, R., Mason, S., Österblom, H., Vermeer, D., Wachtmeister, H., & Werner, N. (2021). The Ocean 100: Transnational corporations in the ocean economy. Science Advances, 7(3).
Wachtmeister, H., & Höök, M. (2020). Investment and production dynamics of conventional oil and unconventional tight oil: Implications for oil markets and climate strategies. Energy and Climate Change, 1, 100010.
Wachtmeister, H., Henke, P., & Höök, M. (2018). Oil projections in retrospect: Revisions, accuracy and current uncertainty. Applied Energy, 220, 138–153.
Tokimatsu, K., Höök, M., McLellan, B., Wachtmeister, H., Murakami, S., Yasuoka, R., & Nishio, M. (2018). Energy modeling approach to the global energy-mineral nexus: Exploring metal requirements and the well-below 2 °C target with 100 percent renewable energy. Applied Energy, 225, 1158–1175.
Tokimatsu, K., Wachtmeister, H., McLellan, B., Davidsson, S., Murakami, S., Höök, M., Yasuoka, R., Nishio, M. (2017). Energy modeling approach to the global energy-mineral nexus: A first look at metal requirements and the 2 °C target. Applied Energy, 207, 494–509.
Wachtmeister, H., Lund, L., Aleklett, K., & Höök, M. (2017). Production Decline Curves of Tight Oil Wells in Eagle Ford Shale. Natural Resources Research, 26(3), 365–377.
Guo, K., Zhang, B., Wachtmeister, H., Aleklett, K., Höök, M. (2017) Characteristic Production Decline Patterns for Shale Gas Wells in Barnett. International Journal of Sustainable Future for Human Security, 5(1), 12-21.
Thorbjörnsson, A., Wachtmeister, H., Wang, J., & Höök, M. (2015). Carbon capture and coal consumption: Implications of energy penalties and large scale deployment. Energy Strategy Reviews, 7, 18–28.
Sällh, D., Wachtmeister, H., Tang, X., & Höök, M. (2015). Offshore oil: Investigating production parameters of fields of varying size, location and water depth. Fuel, 139, 430–440.
Davidsson, S., Grandell, L., Wachtmeister, H., & Höök, M. (2014). Growth curves and sustained commissioning modelling of renewable energy: Investigating resource constraints for wind energy. Energy Policy, 73, 767–776.
Reports, book chapters and policy
Wachtmeister, H. (2024). Chinese presence in the Swedish wind energy sector: Vulnerabilities and risks. NKK Report No. 3. The Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI).
Becker et al (2024). Sanctions on Russia: Getting the facts right. Forum for Research on Eastern Europe and Emerging Economies (FREE) Policy Brief.
Wachtmeister, H. & Spiro, D. (2023). Russia’s shadow fleet of oil tankers: Environmental risks and policy options (2024). Policy brief
Wachtmeister, H. (2023). Russia-China energy relations since 24 February: Consequences and options for Europe. NKK/SCEEUS Report No. 1. The Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI).
Wachtmeister, H. & Spiro, D. (2023). Rekommendationer för utökade energisanktioner mot Ryssland. Policy brief
Yan, A. J., Xie, Y. D., & Wachtmeister, H. (2019). Multiple gas market hubs – China’s energy security and regional cooperation in Asia. Book chapter in Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), Achieving Energy Security in Asia: Diversification, integration and policy implications. World Scientific.
Courses at Uppsala University
Energy Security, course coordinator
Energy Knowledge, course coordinator,
The Global Energy System, course coordinator
Decarbonisation and Sustainable Energy Transitions, course coordinator
Futures Studies: Exploring Sustainable Futures, lecturer
Sustainable Energy Technology, lecturer
The End of the World, lecturer
District Heating Systems, lecturer
Environmental Assessment, supervisor
Decision Support Systems, supervisor
Courses at China University of Petroleum, Beijing
International Energy Security, lecturer
Guest lectures at other universities
Energy Markets Analysis, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU)
Media contributions and appearances
Forskare varnar för kinesiskt inflytande på vindkraftssektorn, DN, October 14, 2024
Forskare: Risk för största oljechocken i historien, Affärsvärlden, October 14, 2024
Putins Schattenflotte, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, June 23, 2024
Nålstick eller smockor – hur mycket skada gör Ukrainas raffinaderiattacker?, SVT, June 2, 2024
Så fungerar ryska skuggflottan i Östersjön: ”Bör punktmarkeras”, TV4, April 24, 2022
Ryska oljetankers en potentiell miljökatastrof, TV4, April 24, 2024
Forskaren: ”Det här är en tickande miljöbomb”, SVD, April 10, 2024
Här tankas ryska skuggflottan – från fartyg utanför Gotland, SVT, April 9, 2024
”Vill inte se Ryssland kollapsa” – därför går Kina balansgång när landet köper energi, YLE, April 2, 2024
Järnvägsboost ska stärka rysk-kinesisk vänskap, (TT), SvD, Di, GP, and others, March 23, 2024
Svensk varning om ryska strategin: ”Sårbart” (Rysk kärnkraftsdiplomati), SvD, March 1, 2024
Experten: Det krävs för att den ryska gasen ska stoppas, SR, July 11, 2023
Den gränslösa vänskapen har fått förhinder, Utrikesmagasinet, June 4, 2023
Växande ”skuggflotta” kan bli Putins vändning, (TT), SvD, Di, HBL, Aftonbladet, and others, June 4, 2023
Despite ‘no limits’ ties, China has moved carefully on Russian energy since Ukraine invasion, South China Morning Post, June 1, 2023
Fungerar sanktionerna mot Ryssland eller inte? TV4, February 16, 2023
Så kan EU:s pristak på gas påverka marknaden, Tidningen Energi, December 20, 2022
EU kunde inte enas om pristak på gas, Tidningen Energi, November 25, 2022
The Nord Stream sabotage, Business Insider, October 15, 2022
Här är undervattensledningarna som kopplar Sverige till Europa, SVT, October 4, 2022
När ryska kranen skruvas åt jagar Europa fossilgas jorden runt, DN, September 29, 2022
Forskaren om gasläckan: ”Timingen är suspekt”, SR, September 27, 2022
Hur ska Sverige få ner elpriserna? SR, September 21, 2022
Sänkta bensinskatter ger Ryssland klirr i kassan, Forskning.se, September 16, 2022
Pressat Tyskland tvingas till u-sväng om naturgasen, Di, September 20, 2022
Iskalla besked inför vintern – elpriset stiger ännu, YLE, August 29, 2022
Macron pressad av fransk energikris, Di, August 25, 2022
EU kan göra sig fria från den ryska gasen – men priset blir högt, Blankspot, June 9, 2022
Därför sanktionerar inte EU all rysk energi: ”Höjda oljepriser skulle slå hårt mot ekonomin”, TV4, May 30, 2022
Strid blåser upp om ransonering av gas, Di, May 27, 2022
Strong criticism of the fuel discount: tax cuts would bring Putin millions every day, Handelsblatt, April 23, 2022
Rysslands krig får energiomställningen att accelerera, Expressen, April 12, 2022
Inget svenskt stopp för rysk energi – spelar det någon roll? DN, April 5, 2022
Ökat fokus på energisäkerhet i Europa, Tidningen Energi, March 22, 2022
Klarar sig väst utan de ryska energiråvarorna? SR, March 21, 2022
”Skulle ta 26 år att göra oss av med Putins gas”, SvD, March 21, 2022
EU vill bli oberoende av rysk energi före 2030, SvD, March 8, 2022
Kan vi klara oss utan den ryska gasen? SvD, March 3, 2022
Höga gaspriser drabbar färjor – börjat tanka med diesel, TV4, February 9, 2022
Bristen på naturgas kan leda till dyrare el och brist på kolsyrade drycker – Ryssland och vädret avgör hur prövande vintern blir, säger expert, YLE, October 3, 2021
Priset på el och gas stiger i rask takt i Europa. Vi reder ut vad prisstigningen beror på,YLE, September 30, 2021
Petrobras is the second largest in the world in ocean operations, DW, January 13, 2021
Har vi nått Peak oil? Aftonbladet, September 28, 2020
Opinion pieces
”Fler märkliga händelser kan ske i Europa”, SvD, October 9, 2022
”Putin tjänar miljarder på EU:s sänkta bränsleskatter”, DN, April 22, 2022
"Göran Bryntse framför själv fulargument om kärnkraft", Expressen, March 3, 2021
Email: henrik.wachtmeister@geo.uu.se
Twitter: @henrikwacht