Henrik Wachtmeister

I am an energy researcher based in Uppsala and Stockholm, Sweden. I work as an Associate Professor at Uppsala University and an Associate Analyst at the Swedish National China Centre at the Swedish Institute of International Affairs.


My research is focused on energy systems analysis, energy economics, and energy policy. I teach energy security and other energy systems courses at Uppsala University.


I received my Ph.D. in Natural Resources and Sustainable Development from the Department of Earth Sciences at Uppsala University in 2020. Besides research positions at Uppsala, I have been a guest researcher at The Swedish Institute of International Affairs, Tokyo Institute of Technology, China University of Petroleum Beijing and Stanford University.


I am currently conducting research on Europe-Russia as well as China-Russia energy relations and policy in the wake of the invasion of Ukraine.

Research


Working papers


Gars, J., Spiro, D., & Wachtmeister, H. (2024). Winners and losers of a Russian oil-export cut


Spiro, D., Wachtmeister, H., Gars, J., (2024). Assessing the impact of oil sanctions on Russia. SSRN WP


Wachtmeister, H., Gars, J., Spiro, D., (2023). The Price Cap on Russian Oil: A Quantitative Analysis. SSRN WP


Journal publications


Gars, J., Spiro, D., & Wachtmeister, H. (2022). The effect of European fuel-tax cuts on the oil income of Russia. Nature Energy, 1-9


Wachtmeister, H., Höök, M. & Kuchler, M. (2021). How Many Wells? Exploring the Scope of Shale Gas Production for Achieving Gas Self-Sufficiency in Poland. Natural Resources Research, 30 (3), 2483-2496


Virdin, J., Vegh, T., Jouffray, J.-B., Blasiak, R., Mason, S., Österblom, H., Vermeer, D., Wachtmeister, H., & Werner, N. (2021). The Ocean 100: Transnational corporations in the ocean economy. Science Advances, 7(3).


Wachtmeister, H., & Höök, M. (2020). Investment and production dynamics of conventional oil and unconventional tight oil: Implications for oil markets and climate strategies. Energy and Climate Change, 1, 100010.


Wachtmeister, H., Henke, P., & Höök, M. (2018). Oil projections in retrospect: Revisions, accuracy and current uncertainty. Applied Energy, 220, 138–153.


Tokimatsu, K., Höök, M., McLellan, B., Wachtmeister, H., Murakami, S., Yasuoka, R., & Nishio, M. (2018). Energy modeling approach to the global energy-mineral nexus: Exploring metal requirements and the well-below 2 °C target with 100 percent renewable energy. Applied Energy, 225, 1158–1175.


Tokimatsu, K., Wachtmeister, H., McLellan, B., Davidsson, S., Murakami, S., Höök, M., Yasuoka, R., Nishio, M. (2017). Energy modeling approach to the global energy-mineral nexus: A first look at metal requirements and the 2 °C target. Applied Energy, 207, 494–509.
Wachtmeister, H., Lund, L., Aleklett, K., & Höök, M. (2017). Production Decline Curves of Tight Oil Wells in Eagle Ford Shale. Natural Resources Research, 26(3), 365–377.


Guo, K., Zhang, B., Wachtmeister, H., Aleklett, K., Höök, M. (2017) Characteristic Production Decline Patterns for Shale Gas Wells in Barnett. International Journal of Sustainable Future for Human Security, 5(1), 12-21.


Thorbjörnsson, A., Wachtmeister, H., Wang, J., & Höök, M. (2015). Carbon capture and coal consumption: Implications of energy penalties and large scale deployment. Energy Strategy Reviews, 7, 18–28.


Sällh, D., Wachtmeister, H., Tang, X., & Höök, M. (2015). Offshore oil: Investigating production parameters of fields of varying size, location and water depth. Fuel, 139, 430–440.


Davidsson, S., Grandell, L., Wachtmeister, H., & Höök, M. (2014). Growth curves and sustained commissioning modelling of renewable energy: Investigating resource constraints for wind energy. Energy Policy, 73, 767–776.



Reports, book chapters and policy


Wachtmeister, H. (2024). Chinese presence in the Swedish wind energy sector: Vulnerabilities and risks. NKK Report No. 3. The Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI).


Becker et al (2024). Sanctions on Russia: Getting the facts right. Forum for Research on Eastern Europe and Emerging Economies (FREE) Policy Brief.


Wachtmeister, H. & Spiro, D. (2023). Russia’s shadow fleet of oil tankers: Environmental risks and policy options (2024). Policy brief 


Wachtmeister, H. (2023). Russia-China energy relations since 24 February: Consequences and options for Europe. NKK/SCEEUS Report No. 1. The Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI).


Wachtmeister, H. & Spiro, D. (2023). Rekommendationer för utökade energisanktioner mot Ryssland. Policy brief


Yan, A. J., Xie, Y. D., & Wachtmeister, H. (2019). Multiple gas market hubs – China’s energy security and regional cooperation in Asia. Book chapter in Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), Achieving Energy Security in Asia: Diversification, integration and policy implications. World Scientific.



Teaching


Courses at Uppsala University


Energy Security, course coordinator 

Energy Knowledge, course coordinator, 

The Global Energy System, course coordinator

Decarbonisation and Sustainable Energy Transitions, course coordinator

Futures Studies: Exploring Sustainable Futures, lecturer 

Sustainable Energy Technology, lecturer

The End of the World, lecturer

District Heating Systems, lecturer

Environmental Assessment, supervisor

Decision Support Systems, supervisor



Courses at China University of Petroleum, Beijing


International Energy Security, lecturer



Guest lectures at other universities 


Energy Markets Analysis, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU)


Media


Media contributions and appearances


Forskare varnar för kinesiskt inflytande på vindkraftssektorn, DN, October 14, 2024

Forskare: Risk för största oljechocken i historien, Affärsvärlden, October 14, 2024

Putins Schattenflotte, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, June 23, 2024

Nålstick eller smockor – hur mycket skada gör Ukrainas raffinaderiattacker?, SVT, June 2, 2024

Så fungerar ryska skuggflottan i Östersjön: ”Bör punktmarkeras”, TV4, April 24, 2022

Ryska oljetankers en potentiell miljökatastrof, TV4, April 24, 2024

Forskaren: ”Det här är en tickande miljöbomb”, SVD, April 10, 2024

Här tankas ryska skuggflottan – från fartyg utanför Gotland, SVT, April 9, 2024

”Vill inte se Ryssland kollapsa” – därför går Kina balansgång när landet köper energi, YLE, April 2, 2024

Järnvägsboost ska stärka rysk-kinesisk vänskap, (TT), SvD, Di, GP, and others, March 23, 2024

Svensk varning om ryska strategin: ”Sårbart” (Rysk kärnkraftsdiplomati), SvD, March 1, 2024

Experten: Det krävs för att den ryska gasen ska stoppas, SR, July 11, 2023 

Den gränslösa vänskapen har fått förhinder, Utrikesmagasinet, June 4, 2023

Växande ”skuggflotta” kan bli Putins vändning, (TT), SvD, Di, HBL, Aftonbladet, and others, June 4, 2023 
Despite ‘no limits’ ties, China has moved carefully on Russian energy since Ukraine invasion, South China Morning Post, June 1, 2023 
Fungerar sanktionerna mot Ryssland eller inte? TV4, February 16, 2023 

Så kan EU:s pristak på gas påverka marknaden, Tidningen Energi, December 20, 2022 
EU kunde inte enas om pristak på gas, Tidningen Energi, November 25, 2022 
The Nord Stream sabotage, Business Insider, October 15, 2022 
Här är undervattensledningarna som kopplar Sverige till Europa, SVT, October 4, 2022 
När ryska kranen skruvas åt jagar Europa fossilgas jorden runt, DN, September 29, 2022
Forskaren om gasläckan: ”Timingen är suspekt”, SR, September 27, 2022 
Hur ska Sverige få ner elpriserna? SR, September 21, 2022

Sänkta bensinskatter ger Ryssland klirr i kassan, Forskning.se, September 16, 2022

Pressat Tyskland tvingas till u-sväng om naturgasen, Di, September 20, 2022 
Iskalla besked inför vintern – elpriset stiger ännu, YLE, August 29, 2022 
Macron pressad av fransk energikris, Di, August 25, 2022 
EU kan göra sig fria från den ryska gasen – men priset blir högt, Blankspot, June 9, 2022
Därför sanktionerar inte EU all rysk energi: ”Höjda oljepriser skulle slå hårt mot ekonomin”, TV4, May 30, 2022 
Strid blåser upp om ransonering av gas, Di, May 27, 2022 
Strong criticism of the fuel discount: tax cuts would bring Putin millions every day, Handelsblatt, April 23, 2022 
Rysslands krig får energiomställningen att accelerera, Expressen, April 12, 2022 
Inget svenskt stopp för rysk energi – spelar det någon roll? DN, April 5, 2022 

Ökat fokus på energisäkerhet i Europa, Tidningen Energi, March 22, 2022

Klarar sig väst utan de ryska energiråvarorna? SR, March 21, 2022 
”Skulle ta 26 år att göra oss av med Putins gas”, SvD, March 21, 2022
EU vill bli oberoende av rysk energi före 2030, SvD, March 8, 2022 
Kan vi klara oss utan den ryska gasen? SvD, March 3, 2022
Höga gaspriser drabbar färjor – börjat tanka med diesel, TV4, February 9, 2022 

Bristen på naturgas kan leda till dyrare el och brist på kolsyrade drycker – Ryssland och vädret avgör hur prövande vintern blir, säger expert, YLE, October 3, 2021 
Priset på el och gas stiger i rask takt i Europa. Vi reder ut vad prisstigningen beror på,YLE, September 30, 2021
Petrobras is the second largest in the world in ocean operations, DW, January 13, 2021 

Har vi nått Peak oil? Aftonbladet, September 28, 2020 


Opinion pieces


”Fler märkliga händelser kan ske i Europa”, SvD, October 9, 2022 

”Putin tjänar miljarder på EU:s sänkta bränsleskatter”, DN, April 22, 2022 

"Göran Bryntse framför själv fulargument om kärnkraft", Expressen, March 3, 2021

Contact

Email: henrik.wachtmeister@geo.uu.se

Twitter: @henrikwacht